Not a lot of change in the latest spring flood outlook for the Red River Valley. The National Weather Service and River Forecast Center have crunched the latest numbers for snowpack…river flow…soil moisture…and frost depth.
The result is the risk for moderate or higher flooding is low and running below historical averages. Snowfall this winter has been well below normal with precipitation slightly below normal from rain and ice events. Precipitation (especially rain) through early spring will be the most important flood risk factor.
The 50-50 mark for a crest in Grand Forks / East Grand Forks is just over 33 feet. Flood stage is 28.
The next outlook will be issued February 29th.
RED RIVER 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5%
—— —— —— —— —— —— —— ——
Wahpeton 8.5 9.7 10.6 11.6 13.0 14.4 14.9
Hickson 15.7 17.0 20.4 23.7 28.8 32.1 32.9
Fargo 18.2 19.2 21.1 24.7 30.1 33.3 35.0
Halstad 14.5 15.6 18.2 24.7 29.1 34.8 37.0
Grand Forks 20.5 21.1 23.0 33.3 37.8 42.1 45.2
Oslo 18.4 19.6 22.8 33.0 34.4 35.4 36.8
Drayton 19.8 20.5 23.7 32.1 38.1 40.1 41.3
Pembina 26.0 26.7 32.6 39.1 45.8 48.0 49.8
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