The risk of significant flooding in the Red River Valley remains quite low this spring according to an updated outlook released today (Thursday) by the National Weather Service.
According to the N-W-S streamflow levels are running 25 to 75 percent of normal throughout the basin. Snowfall through late February is well below long term winter season normal amounts.
The 50-50 crest outlook for Grand Forks is 23.1 feet. Flood stage is 28.
Climate outlooks indicate an increased risk for near normal temperatures and precipitation as the region moves into the early spring period.
… Long-Range Probabilistic Outlook…
Valid March 1, 2021 – May 30, 2021
LOCATION 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 05%
——– —— —— —— —— —— —— ——
WAHPETON 8.4 9.1 9.8 10.8 12.2 13.9 14.6
HICKSON 15.9 18.2 20.5 12.7 26.8 30.5 32.5
FARGO 16.8 17.3 18.7 20.8 24.8 30.1 33.4
HALSTAD 11.6 12.2 15.0 19.2 24.0 29.7 33.7
GRAND FORKS 18.5 18.8 19.9 23.1 29.2 36.2 41.3
OSLO 13.3 13.9 16.9 22.4 29.8 33.8 35.2
DRAYTON 15.4 15.8 18.8 24.8 33.1 37.4 40.2
PEMBINA 18.7 19.4 22.6 28.2 34.5 41.0 45.4