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Mild Winter Lowers Flood Potential

By Doug Barrett Jan 26, 2024 | 8:24 AM

So far so good when it comes to flooding this spring. The National Weather Service is out with the first Spring Flood Outlook for the Red River Valley.

Amanda Lee is the hydrologist with the NWS office in Grand Forks. Lee says late winter and early spring precipitation – along with the timing of the thaw for remaining snowpack – will be the most important risk factors moving forward.

Right now the 50-50 mark for the “Red” in Grand Forks calls for a crest at around 31.1 feet. Flood stage is 28.

…Red River Long-Range Probabilistic Outlook by River Stage…
Valid from January 29, 2024 to April 28, 2024
LOCATION 95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 05%
WAHPETON 9.3 9.9 10.6 11.7 12.7 14.8 1 5.5
HICKSON 17.3 18.3 20.3 24.0 27.3 33.1 34.2
FARGO 18.8 19.9 21.1 25.1 28.9 35.0 36.5
HALSTAD 13.9 16.1 18.6 23.6 28.9 36.0 38.7
GRAND FORKS 19.6 21.7 23.9 31.1 36.5 42.5 44.6
OSLO 16.1 19.6 23.8 31.7 34.0 35.6 36.5
DRAYTON 17.9 20.8 23.3 30.8 36.6 40.5 41.2
PEMBINA 23.9 27.4 32.7 39.0 45.3 48.9 50.0

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