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NWS: Spring flood risk remains low

By Doug Barrett Feb 9, 2023 | 12:23 PM

The latest spring flood outlook by the National Weather Service pretty much mimics the statement released two weeks ago. The risk for significant spring flooding in the Red River Valley is relatively low – and running below long-term historical averages.

Although January and early February have been dry – several early season storms have contributed to above normal snowpack. In addition the region went into freeze-up with below normal soil moisture and near normal streamflows.

Climate outlooks indicate equal chances for above…below…or normal temps…and precipitation heading into spring.

The outlook puts the 50-50 crest prediction for the Red River in Grand Forks / East Grand Forks at 34.9 feet. That’s down slightly from the January outlook – and roughly seven feet over flood stage.

RED RIVER MAINSTEM     95% 90% 75% 50% 25% 10% 5%
—— —— —— —— —— —— —— ——
Wahpeton                          9.7    10.1   10.8   11.7  12.8   14.3  15.0
Hickson                             17.7    18.7   20.1  24.1  28.4  32.2  34.2
Fargo                                  19.2   20.0  21.3  24.8  28.8  33.2  35.1
Halstad                              16.3   18.0  21.2  24.8   29.3  35.3  37.7
Grand Forks                      24.5  25.4  29.6  34.9  40.5  43.4  46.1
Oslo                                     24.2  25.4  30.2  33.5  34.9  35.9  37.1
Drayton                              24.1  25.5  29.3  33.9  39.2  40.3  41.5
Pembina                             32.3  33.5  38.4  43.4  47.5  49.3  50.7

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