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Winter Outlook: cold & snowy…maybe…maybe not

By Doug Barrett Nov 5, 2021 | 8:48 AM

With this being “Winter Weather Awareness Week” in North Dakota a lot of people are wondering what the forecast holds in store for the coming months.

The National Weather Service has hinted of a La Nina pattern which traditionally means colder and snowier conditions for the Red River Valley.  KNOX Staff Meteorologist Mark Ewens says while that’s true – it’s not always the case.  “Last winter was actually a moderate La Nina and we had one of the warmest winters on record.  So there is that roughly 30% of La Nina winters that go in the opposite direction.”

Long-range models by the Climate Prediction Center suggest “equal chances” – or no specific temp or precipitation trends through January.   Ewens that also fits a La Nina pattern  “This year I think we will see more of an influence.  A relatively warm/dry fall and moving past New Year’s more frequent cold snaps and an increase in snowfall.”

Grand Forks averages between 50 and 60 inches of snow during a typical winter season.

Minnesota will recognize Winter Hazard Awareness Week starting November 15th.

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